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The Inevitable Next Economy

by Dan Robles on January 23, 2012

The Human Productivity Chart:

Human civilization has progressed through many stages.  Each stage arose from the “integration” of the tools developed in the prior stage.  Believe it or not, the next economic paradigm will arise from the integration of the tools being developed in the current stage of human development. Let me explain:

Hunter -gatherer:

We started as hunter-gathers who traveled from place to place to follow animal migrations and seasonal flora.  People would collect fallen branches and burn them for heat or cooking.  Then people started to sharpen rocks that could be used to hunt food better than a dull rock. They sharpened rocks to chop down trees for warmth and shelter.  Soon they sharpened rocks to till soil.

The agrarians

The arrival of the agrarian age came when the arrow, the axe, and the plow were integrated; that is, the output of one became the input of another – allowing people to conserve energy and increasing productivity. The emergence of communities led to the division of labor as people specialized their skills. People soon developed tools and techniques for forging metals, building structures, and harnessing of forces such as wind, sun, water, and domesticated animals.

City-states

The arrival of City-States arose when division of labor, harnessing forces, and transportation became integrated.  Spare time became available to experiment in ideas such as governance, laws, civil services, and currency. Travel allowed for trade of goods, services, and the spread of knowledge across great distances.

Philosophers

The age of philosophy emerged as the leisure class, knowledge exchange, and civil law integrated such that people began to question existence, spirituality, and test theories about the observations that they constantly witnessed in the natural world.

Scientists

The scientific age emerged from the integration of tools developed during the philosophical age.  Written language, mathematics, geometry, came together as alchemists attempting to turn lead into gold, instead created many other new and useful things from the elements. Astronomy, calculus, the scientific method, and modern finance were born.

Industrialists

The industrial age emerged as an integration of the tools developed by the scientific age.  Eli Whitney demonstrated the “interchangeability of parts” paving the way for modern production. The printing press and cotton gin demonstrated the scalability of machinery while capitalization and securitization of value (finance) allowed a merchant class to allocate land, labor, and capital.

Information

The age of information formed from the integration of tools created by the industrial revolution.  All that machinery created a tremendous amount of data.  Computers were developed for processing data creating information that could be used to make productivity more efficient.

Knowledge

The Knowledge age emerged from the integration of tools developed during the information age. The Internet vastly accelerated the amount of information available from which knowledge could be applied as factors of production in physical systems from weather prediction, space travel, medicine, and new ways for people to organize their selves.

Innovation

The innovation age will emerge from the integration of tools developed by the knowledge age.  So called “social media” is creating thousands of platforms upon which people reorganize themselves around interests, affinities, relationship, and commerce.  As these tools integrate; that is, when the output of one tool becomes the input of another tool (and vice versa), a new economic paradigm will emerge.

Wisdom

Keep in mind that the agrarian economy and all previous stages are still with us today. Keep in mind that elements of future economies also exist today.  Keep in mind that the US dollar has not always been the currency of trade nor should we expect that it will always be with us in the future. We can assume that the productivity inherent in people and communities is not dependent on the currency, rather, currency is dependent on it.  Time is the only scarce resource and everyone has an equal amount of it.  As such, time is the only true currency.

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Where Teachers Hold an Equity Position

by Dan Robles on October 19, 2011

Teachers are “threatened” with layoffs. In some cases, the profession is openly mocked. Meanwhile, corporations are staring blankly at the knowledge gap in their industries.  The older generation is retiring, moving on, and taking their knowledge with them.  Teacher’s unions are busted and disappearing. Apprenticeships are a thing of the past.  Everyone is asking “where are the jobs – there is plenty of work to do”

Education is obviously a financial instrument.  Think about that for a minute – it is an investment like any other investment. Wall Street has an arbitrage instrument for every market anomaly – why not education?

What would happen if teachers were given an equity position in their students?  Isn’t this what families do to prepare their kids to take over the family business?  Isn’t this what happens in corporations where executives pick proteges?  Isn’t this what happens in politics where knowledge is traded among a closed group?

A school like Harvard University or MIT certainly hold and equity position in their students. What if every community viewed every child as an asset instead of a liability?

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People Are Corporations Too

August 13, 2011
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Mitt provides us with a looking glass into the fundamental differences between the rich and the poor. The rich see themselves as the proxy for the prosperity of the poor. Meanwhile, the poor see themselves as the proxy for the prosperity of the rich. Neither side admits that they need each other,

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OWN Your Travel Game

August 1, 2011
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These vendors pay and extraordinary amount of money on business intelligence, Groupons, and social media campaigns trying to discover YOUR intentions data.

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BizDev with Cascading Info Game

July 18, 2011
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Social Flights would also be subject to the Cascading Information Theory, thus demonstrating how a corporation would enhance their own engagement, loyalty, influence, and time-quality in the communities where they operate.

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The Raw Material of Social Org Games

July 14, 2011
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When a person states their intention to fly to a distant place, this creates immensely valuable data. Such information is highly specific and even quite intimate because people share their hopes, dreams, and aspirations when they meet, travel, learn together.

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Why This Bubble Is Completely Different

July 5, 2011
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As our noble politicians continue to play their game of chicken with the productivity of honest, educated, and productive Americans, they fail to see the polarity shifting away from money and into “true value”.

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When The Customer, Supplier, And Competitor Are The Same

June 27, 2011
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The most disruptive innovations follow a similar path when a small uprising emerges to delivers a superior value proposition. Large corporations may be faced with a disruptive force that they never anticipated – social virtualization.

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The Gamification of Air Travel

June 23, 2011
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What if a person with high Social Flights Frequent Flier Miles represented a better social influence predictor than say, a Klout score or Twitter follower count? Would vendors want to know who these magical people are? Will vendors compensate them for their influence in a community? Wouldn’t the community then define the ads that get pitched?

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Control The Information And Control The Game

May 9, 2011
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A Value Game depends on the control of information. If someone else controls the information – they control the Value and there can be no game. Technology is deployed to the game – the game is not deployed to the technology.

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Data: The Ultimate Shared Asset

April 29, 2011
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You give your data away for free. Companies collect this data and they have no intention of sharing it with you. Data is a multi-billion dollar industry. Why? Aren’t most life lessons about figuring out who is NOT playing The Value Game and avoiding them?

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Collaborative Consumption Is Here To Stay

April 8, 2011
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Collaborative consumption is here to stay because it represents a higher value economy than forest-to-dump consumerism. The financial deficit is simply the inadequacy of Money to articulate Social Value.

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The Reality of Social Networking

April 6, 2011
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Most logical people will ask “where do I get the money to travel to new places with new people? The answer is simple: “That is precisely why you need to travel to new places to meet new people”

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The Mashup of Gamification and Collaborative Consumption

March 25, 2011
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Predictably, in the end Gamification amounts to little more than feeding the advertiser’s insatiable addiction to that extra dose of personal data coursing through the veins of unbridled consumption capitalism

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The Value Game Plays The Valley Game

February 26, 2011
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The Value Game is a new class of business methods designed to specifically create social value. The rules of the Value Game are very simple. The Game Starts and Ends with money but all of the new value created in the game is denominated in Social Currency.

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How To Play The Value Game

February 22, 2011
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The Value Game is a new class of business methods that converts financial currency into social currency and vice versa.   The benefits of the Value Game are innumerable since social currency is the only true alternate means of storage and exchange for value that can hedge a weakening dollar. The rules of the game are [...]

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Crowdsourcing The Brokerage House

February 15, 2011
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Social Flights creates a valuable and unique form of business intelligence defining how much value, in dollars, that people place on their time. This results in a conversion factor between social currency and financial currency – something that has never been achieved before.

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When Everyone has a Coupon, They Will Innovate

January 31, 2011
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Coupled with social media, a coupon can be leveraged to influence the behavior of whole communities in extraordinary ways. The ability to manipulate coupon values is tantamount to the ability to manipulate the value of money itself.

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The Spirit of The Age

January 17, 2011
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There are many people questioning the past, present, and future of money. For the first time in human history, there is substantial access to information and scalable social technology that can enable people to create, store and exchange new value in their communities. I believe that the act of people building community, in itself, creates new value that may be exchanged through many forms called social currency.

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Collaborative Production, Consumption, or Destruction?

January 11, 2011
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The most powerful byproduct of collaborative consumption, in my opinion, is that communities can organize around physical assets to produce what they actually need, not what they are told to need.

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Creating An Intention Currency

January 7, 2011
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In the last few articles, I’ve been trashing the idea of an influence currency as frivolous, vain, and even dangerous. I have also discussed the importance of Intentions as a superior means of storing and exchanging value because of it’s ability to predicting economic outcomes.

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The 3 Steps To Social Profits

November 29, 2010
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Nothing Economic can happen until two or more people get together to build something. Social Profit is like a fungible option with a face value. If structured correctly, an option can have a face value equal to the difference between discount and full price.

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The Invisible Hand of Social Capitalism

November 12, 2010
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Like Adam Smith’s invisible hand of Market Capitalism, the Invisible Hands of Social Capitalism will reward people for organizing themselves to make what they enjoy most and are naturally talented in producing.

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Reverse Economics And True Value Social Games

November 11, 2010
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With a high velocity and frictionless payment processing system, the economy should be able to operate in “reverse” just as easily – if not better than – it operates in so-called “forward”. Here is why:

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